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Posted

I heard of media claims that dismiss these forces, but it shows a certain lack of understanding of how land warfare works.

 

The police, PMC, paramilitary and mercenaries like these will be used to hold ground and free up Russian army forces.  Otherwise the Russian ground forces need to deploy their own assault forces to hold the ground.  20,000 men, even primitively equipped can screen XX KM of ground.  The Russians also need people to fight house to house.

 

Currently the Russians are clearly very overstretched in their operations to the point where they frequently aren't deploying a deep infantry screen for their armored/supply columns, and taking a lot of losses.  Infantry is their weak point so far in this war.

 

The obvious strong point of the Russians is their firepower, particularly in artillery which the Ukrainians have not much answer to and have likely pre-empted them from conducting any serious operational-level counterattack of impact.

Posted

ABC news, which is close to the administration said last night that they were informed that the Russians will cut off Kyiv in 1- to 1 1/2 weeks and there will be a climatic "Battle of Kyiv" for 4-6 weeks.

Posted

Belarus government announces that it will send 5 battalions to "replace" Russian forces stationed in Belarus- the obvious implication is that they are releasing these Russian forces to the Ukraine.

Zelensky says that over 1300 Ukrainian soldiers have died so far in the war.  

 

@SympathysSilhouette

 

This site has daily updates on the military situation in the Ukraine, largely Ukrainian-biased (sourced from General Staff messaging) and own opinion:

 

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/ukraine-conflict-updates

 

 

This channel is very helpful.  This Russian produces continuous updates on the Russian troop dispositions and offensive activities from Russian sources.  I mute it, just look at the maps he makes.

 

https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCSQSxUJb4zH1SEpzNerSLLg/videos

 

Form what I've heard/read, the American DOD  and media viewpoint is less optimistic than the Ukrainian military one.  

 

Posted
15 hours ago, SympathysSilhouette said:

Another one of Karlie's friends. She sure knows how to pick them!

 

It always raises a ?? when billionaires marry models and not other superrich people.  From time immemorial super rich people married other super rich people as aliances of sorts.  Feudalism, Victorian England,  etc. By marrying a model they don't get all that baggage from being superrich but they don't get the traditional aliance.

Posted
18 hours ago, Matt! said:

 

Holy ****. 

 

The American estimates commented in the media are that the Russian air force is attacking Ukraine with about 200 sorties a day.  Ukraine responds with 5-10 sorties a day, due to the Russian Anti-aircraft defense. They also believe that the Russians have fired 800 plus missles so far, so that's approx. 40 missiles dropping a day.

 

Among the aircraft they use, is the heavily armored and armed SU-25 for ground-attack (Some have been shot down already).  I think it's the spirtual successor to the IL-2 of WW2.

 

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sukhoi_Su-25

 

The sortie count is approx. 3 times smaller than the US/coalition invasion of Iraq IIRC.

Posted

 

Mariupol has been the most heavily contested encircled city of the war so far.  The battle for Kyiv is sure to dwarf this battle though.

 

It is being reported that Putin's nazis (Regiment Azov)are stationed in Mariupol.

Posted

Russians bombed a school. 

 

another event: Killed an American journalist and wounded another.

 

6ge2ofwhx4n81.jpg

 

And hit (with 8 missiles) the "Ukrainian Center for Peacekeeping and Security" in Yavoriv, a training base for peacekeepers 6 miles from the Polish border.  35 dead and 130+ wounded reported so far.  The Russian media claims that the Russian attack killed 180 foreign volunteers....

Posted
8 hours ago, Cult Icon said:

The American estimates commented in the media are that the Russian air force is attacking Ukraine with about 200 sorties a day.  Ukraine responds with 5-10 sorties a day, due to the Russian Anti-aircraft defense. They also believe that the Russians have fired 800 plus missles so far, so that's approx. 40 missiles dropping a day.

 

 

I think they're (Ukrainians) are holding up pretty well, just keep doing what you're doing. Putin is already sweating like hell. 

Posted
30 minutes ago, Matt! said:

 

I think they're (Ukrainians) are holding up pretty well, just keep doing what you're doing. Putin is already sweating like hell. 

 

The Ukrainians are losing badly, despite the still good combat morale of their soldiers. 

 

IMHO they should surrender if they cannot get a deal with the Russians.

 

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